Wall Street Oasis - Investment Banking & Finance Community: PMs/ experienced asset managers, how confident are you really that you will beat the market/earn decent returns?

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PMs/ experienced asset managers, how confident are you really that you will beat the market/earn decent returns? Sep 26th 2013, 02:51, by jsolow495 I'm trying to understand how much uncertainty there really is in the market for someone with lots of training, lots of experience, and good judgement. Do you go into your office thinking: "I'm reasonably confident I will be hitting my target returns as long as nothing crazy happens..." or is it more like "Though my team and I do the best analysis we can, we REALLY are at the whims of markets" or anywhere in between? Do markets become more and more predictable the more training and/or experience one gains? Is there an upper bound and if so, where is the upper bound? Media files: preview (image/png, 0 MB)

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