Monday, 24 June 2013

Wall Street Oasis - Investment Banking & Finance Community: Shibor - Canary in the Coal Mine?

Wall Street Oasis - Investment Banking & Finance Community
The Wall Street Finance Community where investment bankers, consultants, traders, private equity and hedge fund professionals come to learn and play.
Shibor - Canary in the Coal Mine?
Jun 24th 2013, 23:30

canary

I'm surprised that the recent Shibor spike hasn't (Shibor is the Chinese version of LIBOR) sparked more concern. After staying at less than 4% for the last year, the 3-month rate has surged to above 5%. The overnight rate has spiked even further to 13%. To put things in perspective, 2011's top five banks by profits included four chinese banks. What is happening?

One major explanation being posited is that this is just the next step in the Chinese government's attempt reduce credit expansion/leverage in the system. However, what if this is a different signal - that of a funding crisis? Such a crisis was prelude to the US-led recession of 2008.

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